MEX vs ECU
Estadio Azteca
KICKOFF IN --DAYS : --HRS : --MIN : --SEC
"Hosts open under the Azteca lights — model gives MEX +3pp edge over market"
Full model vs market split →FOOTBALL · DATA · MARKETS
Match Roundup pairs an open football model with live Polymarket and Kalshi prices, so every kickoff comes with a probability you can audit — and a market you can compare.
Estadio Azteca
"Hosts open under the Azteca lights — model gives MEX +3pp edge over market"
Full model vs market split →SNAPSHOT
The model and the books still disagree by 1-3pp on three of the favorites. The flagged rows are where we'd take the other side.
Every fixture: our probability, Pinnacle's implied, Polymarket's live — side by side. Edges flagged in red.
Each match page ships with the same five visuals: shot map, xG timeline, probability bar, closing-line drift, key matchups.
xG, PSxG, PV, OBV, CLV, Vig — long-form definitions with live calculators, written to be answer-engine ready.
Editorial-signed analysis, not anonymous model output. We tell you what we ran, the data, and what we'd bet against ourselves.
THE WAITLIST
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